Thursday, August 13, 2009

Massachusetts Mortgage Rate Commentary

Here's your Daily Commentary report compliments of Jeff Drew and Star Mortgage!



Thursday’s bond market has opened in positive territory following much weaker than expected consumer spending news. The stock markets are showing minor gains with the Dow up 27 points and the Nasdaq up 10 points. The bond market is currently up 15/32, which will likely improve this morning’s mortgage rates by approximately .125 of a discount point. Preventing a slightly larger improvement in rates was weakness late yesterday after the FOMC meeting.

The Commerce Department announced this morning that retail level sales fell 0.1% last month. This was well off forecasts of a 0.7% increase, meaning that consumers were spending much less than expected. Even if volatile auto-related sales are excluded, sales fell much more than expected. This is very good news for the bond market and mortgage rates because consumer spending makes up two-thirds of the U.S. economy. If consumer spending is still falling, the broader economic recovery cannot be close. Generally speaking, a weak economy is a better environment for bonds and makes mortgage-related bonds more attractive to investors.

Also posted this morning were weekly unemployment figures from the Labor Department. They reported that 558,000 new claims for benefits were filed last week. This was an increase from the previous week, but more importantly, analysts were expecting to see a decline in new claims. However, since this data basically tracks only a week’s worth of claims, it usually…….

To read the rest of the story click on “mortgage”: mortgage

©Mortgage Commentary 2009

* Please note that this information reflects just one opinion on the current market. If you are considering a purchase or refinance and have a mortgage rate and monthly payment you are comfortable with you may want to consider locking that mortgage rate. It is very difficult to predict the market in these very volatile times. Most lenders have a mortgage rate renegotiation policy. Contact me for details. Jeff@StarMortgage.com

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